Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints

Project Identity: Shinar of Clark
Author: Yi Zeng
Framework: Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management
📄 Manuscript PDF: Read the Full Paper Here
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854
github:https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative
Email:Clark@ShinarOfClark.com


📖 Introduction

This repository implements Phase 3 (“Pathology & Prognosis”) of the sub-health diagnostic framework for offshore wind assets under the “Clark Paradigm”.

Building upon the “Electromagnetic Ledger” (Phase 1) and the “Proactive Protection Shield” (Phase 2), this phase focuses on cross-terminal fault contagion tracking and proactive asset management. By tracking the spatio-temporal propagation of sub-health anomalies across a “5-Level 7-Node” distributed topology, this phase achieves a critical transition from localized anomaly detection to network-wide cascading propagation analysis and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation.

Core Philosophy: Fault Contagion Tracking = Spatio-Temporal Anomaly Envelopes + Cascade Propagation Time-Delay Prediction (Δt).


📁 Repository Structure

To ensure the transparency and reproducibility of our research, the supporting materials for this paper are organized as follows:

  • figures/: Contains all high-resolution figures, attention heatmaps, and fault contagion mechanism flowcharts presented in the manuscript.
  • scripts/: Contains Python implementation scripts, including the CNN feature trigger, the Transformer spatio-temporal sequence analyzer, and figure generation routines.
  • data/: Contains the generated simulation datasets representing multi-terminal harmonic signals under different fault propagation scenarios.

🛠️ Technical Architecture

This phase implements a hybrid deep learning framework to track how sub-health states propagate across the multi-terminal electrical layout:

  • 5-Level 7-Node Spatio-Temporal Topology: Maps offshore wind assets into WTG (Level A/Node A), Converter (Level B/Node B), Collector Cables (Level C/Nodes C1, C2), Transmission Cables (Level D/Nodes D1, D2), and Point of Common Coupling (Level E/Node E).
  • Two-Stage Collaborative Model:
    • Stage 1 (CNN Anomaly Envelope Trigger): Translates high-dimensional frequency-domain harmonic signals (XtR7×50) into real-time anomaly probabilities (pt).
    • Stage 2 (Transformer Spatio-Temporal Analyzer): Uses multi-head self-attention with spatio-temporal positional encoding to track the propagation path and estimate the contagion time-delay (Δt).

🚀 Key Features

  • Spatio-Temporal Contagion Tracking: Traces how transient anomalies and sub-health degradation propagate downstream (from turbine to grid) or upstream (from grid disturbances back to the turbine).
  • CNN Anomaly Trigger: Captures early fault envelopes with high robustness against measurement noise and fluctuating environmental conditions.
  • Transformer-based Delay Estimation (Δt): Quantifies the contagion propagation delays, allowing O&M systems to identify the root cause and forecast warning lead times.
  • Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprinting: Relies on low- and mid-frequency harmonic envelopes (up to the 50th order) to identify mechanical and electrical issues (e.g., blade icing, cable degradation) without expensive high-frequency sensors.

📊 Performance

By utilizing the collaborative CNN-Transformer model, the platform achieves high accuracy in predicting cross-terminal fault contagion delays:

  • Cascade Tracking: Successfully forecasts downstream propagation paths and provides early warning windows of 10 to 30 seconds prior to catastrophic grid shock or terminal failures.
  • Interpretability: The self-attention weight heatmaps clearly highlight the causal dependencies and bottleneck nodes in the 5-Level 7-Node architecture.

📚 Citation

If you utilize the concepts or content of this project in your research, please cite our manuscript:

APA Format:

Zeng, Y. (2026). Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints (v1.0.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854

BibTeX:

@misc{zeng2026clark_contagion,
  title={Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints},
  author={Yi Zeng},
  year={2026},
  publisher={Zenodo},
  version={v1.0.0},
  doi={10.5281/zenodo.20306854},
  url={https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854}
}

🛡️ License

This project is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) License.

License: CC BY 4.0

Rights Statement: You are free to share and adapt this work, provided that you give appropriate credit to the author Yi Zeng (Project Shinar of Clark) and indicate if changes were made.

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