Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#spatio-temporal-fault-contagion-tracking-and-predictive-asset-management-for-offshore-wind-farms-based-on-multi-terminal-harmonic-fingerprints-clark-paradigm---phase-3"></a></p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Project Identity:</strong> Shinar of Clark<br><strong>Author:</strong> Yi Zeng<br><strong>Framework:</strong> Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management<br><strong>📄 Manuscript PDF:</strong> <a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/blob/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation/Spatio-Temporal%20Fault%20Contagion%20Tracking%20and%20Predictive%20Asset%20Management%20for%20Offshore%20Wind%20Farms%20Based%20on%20Multi-Terminal%20Harmonic%20Fingerprints.pdf">Read the Full Paper Here</a><br><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854">https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854</a><br><strong>github</strong><em>:</em><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative</a><br><strong>Email:</strong><em>Clark@ShinarOfClark.com</em><a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854"></a></p>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading has-large-font-size">📖 Introduction</h2>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#-introduction"></a></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This repository implements Phase 3 (“Pathology & Prognosis”) of the sub-health diagnostic framework for offshore wind assets under the <strong>“Clark Paradigm”</strong>.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Building upon the “Electromagnetic Ledger” (Phase 1) and the “Proactive Protection Shield” (Phase 2), this phase focuses on <strong>cross-terminal fault contagion tracking</strong> and <strong>proactive asset management</strong>. By tracking the spatio-temporal propagation of sub-health anomalies across a <strong>“5-Level 7-Node”</strong> distributed topology, this phase achieves a critical transition from localized anomaly detection to network-wide cascading propagation analysis and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Core Philosophy:</strong> Fault Contagion Tracking = Spatio-Temporal Anomaly Envelopes + Cascade Propagation Time-Delay Prediction (<math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mi><mi>t</mi></math>).</p>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading has-large-font-size">📁 Repository Structure</h2>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#-repository-structure"></a></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To ensure the transparency and reproducibility of our research, the supporting materials for this paper are organized as follows:</p>
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><code>figures/</code>: Contains all high-resolution figures, attention heatmaps, and fault contagion mechanism flowcharts presented in the manuscript.</li>
<li><code>scripts/</code>: Contains Python implementation scripts, including the CNN feature trigger, the Transformer spatio-temporal sequence analyzer, and figure generation routines.</li>
<li><code>data/</code>: Contains the generated simulation datasets representing multi-terminal harmonic signals under different fault propagation scenarios.</li>
</ul>
<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading has-large-font-size">🛠️ Technical Architecture</h2>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#%EF%B8%8F-technical-architecture"></a></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This phase implements a hybrid deep learning framework to track how sub-health states propagate across the multi-terminal electrical layout:</p>
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>5-Level 7-Node Spatio-Temporal Topology:</strong> Maps offshore wind assets into WTG (Level A/Node A), Converter (Level B/Node B), Collector Cables (Level C/Nodes C1, C2), Transmission Cables (Level D/Nodes D1, D2), and Point of Common Coupling (Level E/Node E).</li>
<li><strong>Two-Stage Collaborative Model:</strong>
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Stage 1 (CNN Anomaly Envelope Trigger):</strong> Translates high-dimensional frequency-domain harmonic signals (<math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><msub><mi>X</mi><mi>t</mi></msub><mo>∈</mo><msup><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mi mathvariant="bold">R</mi></mrow><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mn>7</mn><mo>×</mo><mn>50</mn></mrow></msup></math>) into real-time anomaly probabilities (<math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><msub><mi>p</mi><mi>t</mi></msub></math>).</li>
<li><strong>Stage 2 (Transformer Spatio-Temporal Analyzer):</strong> Uses multi-head self-attention with spatio-temporal positional encoding to track the propagation path and estimate the contagion time-delay (<math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mi><mi>t</mi></math>).</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading has-large-font-size">🚀 Key Features</h2>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#-key-features"></a></p>
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Spatio-Temporal Contagion Tracking:</strong> Traces how transient anomalies and sub-health degradation propagate downstream (from turbine to grid) or upstream (from grid disturbances back to the turbine).</li>
<li><strong>CNN Anomaly Trigger:</strong> Captures early fault envelopes with high robustness against measurement noise and fluctuating environmental conditions.</li>
<li><strong>Transformer-based Delay Estimation (Δt):</strong> Quantifies the contagion propagation delays, allowing O&M systems to identify the root cause and forecast warning lead times.</li>
<li><strong>Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprinting:</strong> Relies on low- and mid-frequency harmonic envelopes (up to the 50th order) to identify mechanical and electrical issues (e.g., blade icing, cable degradation) without expensive high-frequency sensors.</li>
</ul>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading has-large-font-size">📊 Performance</h2>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#-performance"></a></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">By utilizing the collaborative CNN-Transformer model, the platform achieves high accuracy in predicting cross-terminal fault contagion delays:</p>
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Cascade Tracking:</strong> Successfully forecasts downstream propagation paths and provides early warning windows of <strong>10 to 30 seconds</strong> prior to catastrophic grid shock or terminal failures.</li>
<li><strong>Interpretability:</strong> The self-attention weight heatmaps clearly highlight the causal dependencies and bottleneck nodes in the 5-Level 7-Node architecture.</li>
</ul>
<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading has-large-font-size">📚 Citation</h2>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#-citation"></a></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you utilize the concepts or content of this project in your research, please cite our manuscript:</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>APA Format:</strong></p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Zeng, Y. (2026). Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints (v1.0.0). Zenodo. <a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854">https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>BibTeX:</strong></p>
<pre class="wp-block-preformatted">@misc{zeng2026clark_contagion,
title={Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints},
author={Yi Zeng},
year={2026},
publisher={Zenodo},
version={v1.0.0},
doi={10.5281/zenodo.20306854},
url={https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854}
}</pre>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading has-large-font-size">🛡️ License</h2>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://github.com/Shinar-of-Clark/Clark-Paradigm-Initiative/tree/main/papers/paper-3-fault-correlation#%EF%B8%8F-license"></a></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This project is licensed under the <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode">Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)</a> License.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><img src="https://camo.githubusercontent.com/59896db2b47e60cf6b6cdd3af4bc9ec3e8d290389a9d3ce7cdb95a955e9d0923/68747470733a2f2f696d672e736869656c64732e696f2f62616467652f4c6963656e73652d43432532304259253230342e302d6c69676874677265792e737667" alt="License: CC BY 4.0"/></a></figure>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Rights Statement:</strong> You are free to share and adapt this work, provided that you give appropriate credit to the author <strong>Yi Zeng (Project Shinar of Clark)</strong> and indicate if changes were made.</p>
</blockquote>
This repository implements Phase 3 (“Pathology & Prognosis”) of the sub-health diagnostic framework for offshore wind assets under the “Clark Paradigm”.
Building upon the “Electromagnetic Ledger” (Phase 1) and the “Proactive Protection Shield” (Phase 2), this phase focuses on cross-terminal fault contagion tracking and proactive asset management. By tracking the spatio-temporal propagation of sub-health anomalies across a “5-Level 7-Node” distributed topology, this phase achieves a critical transition from localized anomaly detection to network-wide cascading propagation analysis and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation.
To ensure the transparency and reproducibility of our research, the supporting materials for this paper are organized as follows:
figures/: Contains all high-resolution figures, attention heatmaps, and fault contagion mechanism flowcharts presented in the manuscript.
scripts/: Contains Python implementation scripts, including the CNN feature trigger, the Transformer spatio-temporal sequence analyzer, and figure generation routines.
data/: Contains the generated simulation datasets representing multi-terminal harmonic signals under different fault propagation scenarios.
🛠️ Technical Architecture
This phase implements a hybrid deep learning framework to track how sub-health states propagate across the multi-terminal electrical layout:
5-Level 7-Node Spatio-Temporal Topology: Maps offshore wind assets into WTG (Level A/Node A), Converter (Level B/Node B), Collector Cables (Level C/Nodes C1, C2), Transmission Cables (Level D/Nodes D1, D2), and Point of Common Coupling (Level E/Node E).
Stage 2 (Transformer Spatio-Temporal Analyzer): Uses multi-head self-attention with spatio-temporal positional encoding to track the propagation path and estimate the contagion time-delay ().
🚀 Key Features
Spatio-Temporal Contagion Tracking: Traces how transient anomalies and sub-health degradation propagate downstream (from turbine to grid) or upstream (from grid disturbances back to the turbine).
CNN Anomaly Trigger: Captures early fault envelopes with high robustness against measurement noise and fluctuating environmental conditions.
Transformer-based Delay Estimation (Δt): Quantifies the contagion propagation delays, allowing O&M systems to identify the root cause and forecast warning lead times.
Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprinting: Relies on low- and mid-frequency harmonic envelopes (up to the 50th order) to identify mechanical and electrical issues (e.g., blade icing, cable degradation) without expensive high-frequency sensors.
📊 Performance
By utilizing the collaborative CNN-Transformer model, the platform achieves high accuracy in predicting cross-terminal fault contagion delays:
Cascade Tracking: Successfully forecasts downstream propagation paths and provides early warning windows of 10 to 30 seconds prior to catastrophic grid shock or terminal failures.
Interpretability: The self-attention weight heatmaps clearly highlight the causal dependencies and bottleneck nodes in the 5-Level 7-Node architecture.
📚 Citation
If you utilize the concepts or content of this project in your research, please cite our manuscript:
APA Format:
Zeng, Y. (2026). Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints (v1.0.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854
BibTeX:
@misc{zeng2026clark_contagion,
title={Spatio-Temporal Fault Contagion Tracking and Predictive Asset Management for Offshore Wind Farms Based on Multi-Terminal Harmonic Fingerprints},
author={Yi Zeng},
year={2026},
publisher={Zenodo},
version={v1.0.0},
doi={10.5281/zenodo.20306854},
url={https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20306854}
}
Rights Statement: You are free to share and adapt this work, provided that you give appropriate credit to the author Yi Zeng (Project Shinar of Clark) and indicate if changes were made.